As anticipated in yesterday's commentary the Russell 2000 (^RUT) faced a stiff hurdle at the June high and has begun a pullback that could take the cash index back towards the pivotal level about twenty points below yesterday's close.
The hourly chart for the exchange traded proxy, IWM, shows quite clearly the price rejection that occurred in Friday's trading just below the June 6 high and also shows that the 200-hour EMA lies at the equivalent to the 720 area on the cash index.
The Nasdaq 100 (^NDX) which had previously retraced 62% of its move from its late October high to the March low is now stalling at the 50% retracement level. There is, however, strong moving average support in the region of 1900.
The KBW banking index (^BKX) reveals a pattern that looks suspiciously like a failed bullish wedge pattern. With all of the recent shenanigans in the trading of the financials I would wait for further confirmation before getting on the short side of the banks.
The exchange traded fund IBB which tracks the biotech sector is revealing negative divergences on the MACD and MFI charts.
Schlumberger (SLB) appears to have lost contention with the 200-day EMA and could be headed down towards a test of lower levels seen earlier this year. The MACD chart also reveals that this stock was showing non-confirmation in momentum despite reaching higher price levels in late June and a distribution top seems to be in place.
Staples (SPLS) could resume its upward bias after retreating to the $24 level.
Clive Corcoran is the publisher of TradeWithForm.com, which provides daily analysis and commentary on the US stock market. He specializes in market neutral investing and and is currently working on a book about the benefits of trading with long/short strategies, which is scheduled for publication later this year.
Disclaimer The purpose of this article is to offer you the chance to review the trading methodology, risk reduction strategies and portfolio construction techniques described at tradewithform.com. There is no guarantee that the trading strategies advocated will be profitable. Moreover, there is a risk that following these strategies will lead to loss of capital. Past results are no guarantee of future results. Trading stocks and CFD's can yield large rewards, but also has large potential risks. Trading with leverage can be especially risky. You should be fully aware of the risks of trading in the capital markets. You are strongly advised not to trade with capital.
Copyright 2024 Tiger Shark Publishing LLC . All rights reserved.
It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented on these websites will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Examples presented on these websites are for educational purposes only. These set-ups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. The authors, Tiger Shark Publishing LLC, and all affiliates assume no responsibility for your trading results. There is a high degree of risk in trading.