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Corcoran Technical Trading Patterns For September 29
By Clive Corcoran | Published  09/28/2008 | Stocks | Unrated
Corcoran Technical Trading Patterns For September 29

Another day, another bailout.

Signs are growing that the European Central Bank and the Bank of England and their respective Treasuries are crafting their own toxic waste management programs.

It would appear that many bankers and politicians, on both sides of the Atlantic, will be able to spend more time with their families.

The S&P 500 (^SPC) is poised for a break away from the triangular formation. In such extraordinary times all suggestions are that this could be the capitulation event that many technicians have been expecting. There are others, with more of a focus on Armageddon than I, who are supplying some eye-popping downside targets from here.

Meanwhile I would not be surprised by a major move in either direction in such a febrile environment and intend to sit this session out and watch from the sidelines.



Traders in Hong Kong seemed unimpressed with the progress towards a finalization of the US Treasury rescue plan.



The Mumbai Exchange (^BSESN) has closed at a new 52-week low. The weekly chart shows how the index has fallen sharply to the pivotal 200-week EMA level and also to the point at which bubble-mania took hold two years ago.



A few weeks ago I commented in a television interview that the 5300 level seemed to be a possible target for the German market if the markets did not like the measures being taken to rescue the banking sector. As this is being written the Xetra DAX is down by more than 3% and looking precarious. Mood is not being helped by a more than sixty percent decline in Hypo Real Estate, one of Germany' largest holders of commercial real estate.



The IYE sector fund has a combination of a bullish pullback pattern and a basing pattern.



Threats of financial contagion are crippling the investment grade corporate bond sector. LQD would be worth monitoring today.



Last week I touched on the pending weakness in the retail sector and will be watching the sector fund RTH for signs that the pullback should fail at overhead resistance.



Clive Corcoran is the publisher of TradeWithForm.com, which provides daily analysis and commentary on the US stock market. He specializes in market neutral investing and and is currently working on a book about the benefits of trading with long/short strategies, which is scheduled for publication later this year.

Disclaimer
The purpose of this article is to offer you the chance to review the trading methodology, risk reduction strategies and portfolio construction techniques described at tradewithform.com. There is no guarantee that the trading strategies advocated will be profitable. Moreover, there is a risk that following these strategies will lead to loss of capital. Past results are no guarantee of future results. Trading stocks and CFD's can yield large rewards, but also has large potential risks. Trading with leverage can be especially risky. You should be fully aware of the risks of trading in the capital markets. You are strongly advised not to trade with capital.