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Prices Take The Plunge
By Bill Bonner | Published  11/12/2008 | Currency , Futures , Options , Stocks | Unrated
Prices Take The Plunge

Poor Mountain House, California.

The town is underwater, reports the International Herald Tribune. Nine out of ten houses are worth less than their mortgages. There are some 1,856 mortgaged properties in the zip code area of Mountain House. Only 209 of them have any positive equity.

How the screw turns! Is this the "ownership society" promoted by the Bush Administration? Now, people own less than ever!

There are said to be almost 8 million houses with negative equity in the United States.

Of course, people own a lot less in stocks than they did a few months ago too. Worldwide, stocks have shucked off about $28 trillion worth of value.

Poor…rich…middle class - everyone has been hit. The marginal homeowner has already been tossed out onto the street. And now comes word that an extraordinary resort in Montana, designed for the super-rich, has gone bust.

"Where did the money go?" asked Montana governor Brian Schweitzer, speaking of Tim and Edna Blixseth's swanky resort in the Gallatin mountains. Of course, he might have been referring to almost anything - the Russian stock market, the oil market, the mining industry, Wall Street…everywhere you look…from trailer parks to Park Avenue…poof!… the money's disappeared.

The oil price is signaling more doom and gloom ahead too. It slipped below $60 yesterday…

… And now, in the art market, "prices finally plunge," reports the Daily Telegraph. An auction in New York of Impressionists and modern art was supposed to bring in $800 million. Instead, it barely fetched half that much - only $470 million by Friday night. Some lots didn't sell at all. Only 60% of the artworks sold…at prices most about 30% below estimates.

Let's take a quick look at how these losses are transformed from financial problems into economic problems.

"The domino effect," is how today's Independent describes it.

On the cover is the photo of a "news agent," someone who runs a little shop selling magazines, newspapers, snacks, and so forth.

"Hit by falling sales, he decided not to repair his window. Thousands of other people did likewise. So Chemix, a chemical company in Stockport that supplies the building trade, went out of business - with 60 people losing their jobs. These are the sort of tiny decisions that lay behind the loss of 5,000 jobs yesterday. And this is why experts predict 2,000,000 people [in England] will be unemployed by Christmas."

In the United States, the figure is 10 million.

So great is America's economic squeeze that people can't even afford a cup of coffee. Starbucks reports that its profits are off 97%. Not much left.

And, yesterday, General Motors shares fell to a new low of $2.79. The last time you could have bought the automaker so cheaply was in 1937. Back then, it would have been a good investment. The U.S. auto industry was on the way up. Now, Detroit is going down - hard. In the town itself, you can buy mansions for pennies. Empty warehouses are available almost for free. But who wants them?

Investors fear GM may run out of cash within weeks and be forced into bankruptcy. Nancy Pelosi says a special lame duck session of Congress may be called to get emergency cash to Detroit.

Of course, that's they way the feds do business - always trying to prop up failures…trying to block progress…trying to delay the process of correction. In short, they're trying to stop "nature's delight" - change.

Meanwhile, the Dow fell another 176 points. The panic is gone, but the retreat continues. The Dow stood at 8,694 at the close of business yesterday.

At these prices, many investment pros are ready to get back in. Stocks are a bargain, they say. You get more value for money than you got in years, they point out. "Both my money and my mouth say the same thing," adds Warren Buffett: "Buy equities."

Take a look at Starbucks, for example. It used to be such a growth company that shares traded at 50 times earnings. Now you can get them for 12 times earnings. But with collapsing earnings…the share price could fall a lot more.

The stock market bulls aren't necessarily wrong. But we announced a "Trade of the Decade" in 2000 - sell stocks, buy gold. The decade has a few more months to run, so we'll stick with it. At the beginning of this decade you could get about 40 ounces of gold for a unit of the Dow stocks. Now, you barely get 12. If you'd done the trade and stuck with it, you'd be up about 200%.

Besides, it looks to us as though the Dow is going to drop below 5,000 before this is over. Dividend yields have risen to almost 4%. When the dividend yield reaches 6%…and you can trade one ounce of gold for the entire Dow…call us.

Bill Bonner is the President of Agora Publishing. For more on Bill Bonner, visit The Daily Reckoning.