Corcoran Technical Trading Patterns For February 11 |
By Clive Corcoran |
Published
02/11/2009
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Stocks
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Unrated
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Corcoran Technical Trading Patterns For February 11
For many traders and commentators yesterday's up close and personal session with Tim Geithner was their first real exposure to the new Treasury Secretary.
It hardly needs be said that he was not a hit.
I commented somewhat sardonically yesterday that the rescue of the US (and global) economy is in script development.
Latest news from the US Treasury is that there is an idea for a concept for a plan. Stay tuned - they'll get back to us when they've got something a bit more sketched out.
Watching Mr. Geithner, I was struck by the fact that the man looked like he needed someone to throw him a lifebelt - drowning in a tsunami of bad assets.
Back to basics and the 60-minute chart for the S&P 500 proxy, SPY, failed at exactly the 50% retracement level discussed in yesterday's commentary and the move back towards the bottom of the trading range was breathtakingly fast.
The next few sessions are high risk and may see some erratic trading, and for me on intraday setups the key will be to monitor the 15-minute bars for any evidence of positive or negative divergences.
The financials took it on the chin yesterday with XLF sinking back more than ten percent towards the recent lows.
This is the sector chart to have firmly on your screens in the next few sessions as the lack of clarity in the Geithner proposal has room to disappoint further. If the Treasury can come through with something more specific in a follow-up announcement soon this sector could rally again very abruptly.
This is definitely a sector for intraday trading with plenty of opportunities for quick profits on the long side as short players rush to cover.
Clive Corcoran is the publisher of TradeWithForm.com, which provides daily analysis and commentary on the US stock market. He specializes in market neutral investing and and is currently working on a book about the benefits of trading with long/short strategies, which is scheduled for publication later this year.
Disclaimer The purpose of this article is to offer you the chance to review the trading methodology, risk reduction strategies and portfolio construction techniques described at tradewithform.com. There is no guarantee that the trading strategies advocated will be profitable. Moreover, there is a risk that following these strategies will lead to loss of capital. Past results are no guarantee of future results. Trading stocks and CFD's can yield large rewards, but also has large potential risks. Trading with leverage can be especially risky. You should be fully aware of the risks of trading in the capital markets. You are strongly advised not to trade with capital.
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