Although the market’s reaction to this morning’s inventory data triggered a 9% sell-off in the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (NYSE: UNG), I consider the action as part of a larger developing base formation between 18.00 and 15.50 that must occur prior to the completion of the “equilibrium” period, after which Mr. Market will begin discounting a shift in the supply-demand dynamics that lifts prices. From a technical perspective, the 16.00 area provides excellent symmetrical support within the developing base, which should provide the platform for a recovery into the 17.50 to 18.00 initial target zone.



Mike Paulenoff is a 26-year veteran of the financial markets and author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical chart analysis and trading alerts on all major markets. For more of Mike Paulenoff, sign up for a free 15-Day trial to his MPTrader Diary by clicking here.