The last three sessions in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) represent a high level bullish congestion area between 37.80 and 36.60 atop the most recent upleg that started at the 4/17 low of 30.80. If indeed, the past 3 sessions is a bullish consolidation, then the GDX should thrust to the upside to test multi-month highs clustered in the 38.70-39.00 area, and which if hurdled, should trigger a very powerful upside follow-through that projects to 42.50, then 45.00. Conversely, if the GDX breaks and sustains beneath 36.50, then more than likely the price structure will loop down to 35.00-34.50 prior to making another run on the upside. I have tightened my stop on our model portfolio position to 36.40 to reflect my current outlook.



Mike Paulenoff is a 26-year veteran of the financial markets and author of MPTrader.com.