The ProShares UltraShort Real Estate ETF (NYSE: SRS) three-month pattern shows the price structure climbing into a key resistance plateau between 22.50 and 23.40, which if hurdled should trigger upside continuation towards 25.00 initially, and then to 29.00 possibly thereafter. My sense is that a powerful upmove in the SRS will reflect a renewed perception of deflation that is driven by the commercial real estate sector this time around. In any case, as long as 21.15 contains any significant pullback, I want to attempt to build a long position.

Mike Paulenoff is a 26-year veteran of the financial markets and author of MPTrader.com.