Categories
Search
 

Web

TigerShark
Popular Authors
  1. Dave Mecklenburg
  2. Momentum Trader
  3. Candlestick Trader
  4. Stock Scalper
  5. Pullback Trader
  6. Breakout Trader
  7. Reversal Trader
  8. Mean Reversion Trader
  9. Frugal Trader
  10. Swing Trader
  11. Canslim Investor
  12. Dog Investor
  13. Dave Landry
  14. Art Collins
  15. Lawrence G. McMillan
No popular authors found.
Website Info
 Free Festival of Traders Videos
Article Options
Popular Articles
  1. A 10-Day Trading System
  2. Use the Right Technical Tools When You Trade
  3. Which Stock Trading Theory Works?
  4. Conquer the Four Fears
  5. Advantages and Disadvantages of Different Trading Systems
No popular articles found.
The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly
By Lawrence G. McMillan | Published  08/14/2009 | Options | Unrated
The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly





The broad market rally that began in early July hasn't slowed much at all. $SPX closed at a new high and at its highest level since early last October. The $SPX chart thus remains bullish, albeit overextended, as once again it put some distance between itself and its 20-day moving average, which has now risen to about 985.






The equity-only put-call ratios remain strongly bullish. They are low on their charts (overbought), but they will stay bullish unless they roll over and begin to rise.



Market breadth remains very overbought, but there appears to be much sidelined cash that is not concerned with such trivialities. Strong breadth readings are positive, but indicate that sharp, but short-lived corrections can spring up at any time.



The volatility indices ($VIX and $VXO) declined again, and thus remain in downtrends, which is bullish for the broad market. The actual 20-day historical volatility of $SPX is now down to 14%. Thus, there is still a huge difference between $VIX and actual volatility -- too big, in fact. So something has to give, and grudgingly it seems like $VIX is the one.



In summary, the intermediate-term indicators remain bullish, but the overbought condition indicates that sharp, but short-lived corrections can be expected.

Lawrence G. McMillan is the author of two best selling books on options, including Options as a Strategic Investment, recognized as essential resources for any serious option trader's library.