My near- and intermediate-term pattern and momentum work in the iShares German Index Fund ETF (EWG) argue that all of the action from the Oct '09 high at 23.40 into last Tuesday's low at 17.97 represents a completed corrective period in that aftermath of the Mar '09 to Oct '09 advance. Let's keep in mind that current strength comes off of 17.97, which was the 50% support plateau of the entire upleg during 2009, and a sign that the EWG is trading very technically at the moment.

In addition, let's notice that at last week's low at 17.97, daily RSI established a higher low, suggesting strongly that the EWG "bears" were running out of steam. At this juncture, I am expecting the EWG to establish a near-term, base-like formation between 19.50 and 18.60 during the upcoming days prior to a run at 22.00.

 

Mike Paulenoff is a 26-year veteran of the financial markets and author of MPTrader.com.