The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly |
By Lawrence G. McMillan |
Published
12/31/2010
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Options
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Unrated
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The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly
$SPX continues to trend higher in a steady fashion, with a rising 20-day moving average following along behind. That much is pleasantly bullish, but there are some overbought conditions.
The equity-only put-call ratios are positive, as they continue to decline. The trend is down and that's bullish for stocks.
Market breadth has generally been positive, but not overly so. As a result the breadth indicators are on buy signals, and are only modestly overbought.
Volatility indices ($VIX and $VXO) are both in downtrends, and that, too, is bullish for stocks.
In summary, the indicators are all bullish, so I would not recommend going short into the face of that. However, we also understand that volatility is "too low," and there are several overbought conditions in place. As such, a sharp, but perhaps short-lived correction is certainly possible in the near term.
Lawrence G. McMillan is the author of two best selling books on options, including Options as a Strategic Investment, recognized as essential resources for any serious option trader's library.
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