Let's notice that today's action in the emini S&P 500 initially climbed above yesterday's high at 1356.50 (to 1358.25), but then reversed sharply into a nosedive that so far has pressed to 1334.75, which is 4.25 points below yesterday's low.

The net result from a technical perspective is the potential for a key downside reversal day in the e-SPM (contingent upon a close beneath 1339). Such a signal will indicate strongly that the rally off of last Thursday's low at 1325.25 into this morning's recovery high at 1358.25 was a countertrend rally within a larger corrective process that should break the rising 20 DMA (1335) and the prior low at 1325.25, on the way to a test of the lower BBnd line, now at 1300.

Without a doubt, we must raise our antennae for a nasty near-term bearish signal into today's close. That is, if it develops, as so often weakness in this market has turned on a dime right at the breakdown point.

 

Mike Paulenoff is a 26-year veteran of the financial markets and author of MPTrader.com.