Categories
Search
 

Web

TigerShark
Popular Authors
  1. Dave Mecklenburg
  2. Momentum Trader
  3. Candlestick Trader
  4. Stock Scalper
  5. Pullback Trader
  6. Breakout Trader
  7. Reversal Trader
  8. Mean Reversion Trader
  9. Frugal Trader
  10. Swing Trader
  11. Canslim Investor
  12. Dog Investor
  13. Dave Landry
  14. Art Collins
  15. Lawrence G. McMillan
No popular authors found.
Website Info
 Free Festival of Traders Videos
Article Options
Popular Articles
  1. A 10-Day Trading System
  2. Use the Right Technical Tools When You Trade
  3. Which Stock Trading Theory Works?
  4. Conquer the Four Fears
  5. Advantages and Disadvantages of Different Trading Systems
No popular articles found.
The Wagner Daily ETF Report For October 14
By Deron Wagner | Published  10/14/2011 | Stocks | Unrated
The Wagner Daily ETF Report For October 14

Stocks ended the day mixed on light trade. For the second consecutive day price action was whippy but unlike Wednesday, stocks closed near session highs on Thursday. Further there was a clear divergence between the Nasdaq and the other indices. By the closing bell the tech-rich index had tacked on 0.6% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average, small-cap Russell 2000 and S&P 500 dropped 0.4%, 0.4% and 0.3% respectively. The S&P MidCap 400 closed higher by a modest 0.2%.

For the fifth time in seven days market internals were mixed. Volume was down sharply across the board. On the Nasdaq turnover fell by 15.0% and on the NYSE by 16.0%. However, the advancing volume to declining volume ratio posted mixed results. On the Big Board declining volume topped advancing volume by a factor of 1.9 to 1 but on the Nasdaq advancing volume held the upper hand as the spread ratio ended the session at a plus 2.0 to 1.

The Market Vectors Junior Gold Miner ETF (GDXJ) formed a reversal candle on Wednesday as it overcut resistance of its declining 20-day EMA. Yesterday GDXJ tested support at the four day low before reversing to close near resistance of the 20-day EMA. A volume fueled move back below the four day low of $29.68 could provide a short entry trigger for this ETF.


The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) has spent the past two sessions churning at resistance of its 200-day MA. Yesterday, on higher volume XRT attempted to move higher but ultimately reversed and closed in the bottom half of the trading range as the market closed near session highs. A move back below the two day low of $49.64 could result in a shorting opportunity in this ETF. We are monitoring XRT carefully for a possible short entry.


The market is clearly at an inflection point as there has been a battle between bears and bulls over the past two sessions. This battle has manifested itself in very whippy price action. However, the lack of volume and overall weak internals suggests that bears may soon wrestle control of the action and that we could be headed for another leg lower.

Deron Wagner is the Founder and Head Trader of both Morpheus Capital LP, a U.S. hedge fund, and MorpheusTrading.com, a trader education firm.