The Wagner Daily ETF Report For October 18 |
By Deron Wagner |
Published
10/18/2011
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Stocks
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Unrated
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The Wagner Daily ETF Report For October 18
Stocks slid lower on Monday amidst higher trade. All five major indices ended the session in the red. Price action was negative for most of the day as the vast majority of shares opened at the high and closed near the low of the session. The small-cap Russell 2000 led the move lower as it fell 3.3%. The S&P MidCap 400 shed 2.9% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq and S&P 500 lost 2.1%, 2.0% and 1.9% respectively.
Market internals were bearish across both exchanges but the Nasdaq once again showed relative strength to the broad market for much of the session. Volume increased on the NYSE by almost 10.0% but on the Nasdaq by a more modest 1.2%. By the closing bell, declining volume topped advancing volume by a ratio of 9.1 to 1 on the NYSE and by 3.9 to 1 on the Nasdaq. Monday was a distribution day for the market as trade increased during the selloff. However, the price and volume action was a far cry from the capitulation we witnessed in the market several weeks ago.
For the fourth time in as many days the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miner ETF (GDXJ) found resistance at its 20-day EMA yesterday. Further, GDXJ closed near session lows and at the bottom end of the six-day trading range. A volume-fueled move below the six-day low of $29.60 could provide a shorting opportunity in this ETF.
Yesterday, on a burst in volume, the Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares ETF (EDZ) reversed off its nine-day lows and closed near session highs. A move above resistance at $24.49 could present a buy entry trigger for EDZ. We are monitoring this setup closely for a possible long entry.
Via intraday alert we entered a long position in ProShares UltraShort Euro ETF (EUO) yesterday. Trade details are available to our subscribers in the watchlist segment of the newsletter.
As anticipated, the market fell under selling pressure at key resistance yesterday. The next few sessions will give us critical insight into the commitment of bulls in the most recent move higher and we remain cautious with respect to the short side of the market. Earnings season is once again in force with AAPL and INTC set to announce today.
Deron Wagner is the Founder and Head Trader of both Morpheus Capital LP, a U.S. hedge fund, and MorpheusTrading.com, a trader education firm.
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