The Wagner Daily ETF Report For October 20 |
By Deron Wagner |
Published
10/20/2011
|
Stocks
|
Unrated
|
|
The Wagner Daily ETF Report For October 20
Stocks gave back most of Tuesday's gains on mixed volume yesterday. Higher beta issues took the brunt of the selling as both the Nasdaq and the small-cap Russell 2000 fell just over 2.0%. The S&P MidCap 400 fell 1.6% while the S&P 500 shed 1.3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average showed the most strength on the day as it closed lower by a modest 0.6%.
Market internals ended the session mixed. Volume rose on the Nasdaq by 2.5% but fell on the NYSE by almost 12.0%. However ,declining volume topped advancing volume on both exchanges. On the NYSE the spread ratio ended the day at a minus 5.2 to 1 and on the Nasdaq at a minus 3.1 to 1. Because of the higher volume the Nasdaq posted both a bearish reversal and distribution day. There was clearly a divergence between the Nasdaq and the NYSE yesterday.
The S&P Select Technology SPDR ETF (XLK) gapped down and formed a reversal candle yesterday on a significant spike in volume. The fact that this burst of selling came on the heels of an accumulation day in the market does not bode well for XLK. A move below the two-day low of $25.27 could provide a shorting opportunity in this ETF.
Yesterday, on a big spike in volume, the ProShares UltraShort Dow Jones AIG Crude ETF (SCO) formed a reversal candle as it undercut the 200-day MA and rallied to close near session highs. A volume-fueled move back above the two-day high of $53.95 could provide a buy entry trigger for this inverse ETF.
The market provided mixed signals yesterday as the Nasdaq diverged from the DJIA and the S&P 500. Given this divergence it is quite possible that we could see a pullback in the Nasdaq but sideways/rally action elsewhere. Caution is warranted in this choppy environment.
Deron Wagner is the Founder and Head Trader of both Morpheus Capital LP, a U.S. hedge fund, and MorpheusTrading.com, a trader education firm.
|