The Wagner Daily ETF Report For July 13 |
By Deron Wagner |
Published
07/13/2012
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Stocks
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Unrated
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The Wagner Daily ETF Report For July 13
Stocks recovered dramatically from session lows yesterday, on higher volume. All five major indices closed lower on the session but well off their worst levels of the day. The S&P 500 contained losses to 0.5% after being as much as 1.2% down on the day. The Nasdaq rebounded from 1.7% loss to finish the day lower by 0.8%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P MidCap 400 and small-cap Russell 2000 all slipped 0.3%. Still, the S&P 500 fell for a sixth straight day on Thursday, while the Nasdaq fell for the fifth time in five days.
Market internals ended the day on a negative not but yesterday's action was far from bearish. Volume increased by 5.3% on the Nasdaq and 7.6% on the NYSE, while declining volume held the upper hand on both exchanges. At the close, the ratio of declining to advancing volume stood at a minus 2.5 to 1 on the NYSE and a minus 2.7 to 1 on the Nasdaq. Despite the negative internals, the substantial intraday reversal in price action points to institutional accumulation and not distribution.
Since the market began selling off over a week ago, the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) has show considerable realative strength to the broad market. While the Nasdaq was losing support of both its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, IBB only undercut its 20-day EMA. Further, IBB quickly regained support of the 20-day EMA after undercutting it sharply yesterday. IBB ended the day near session highs. A volume fueled move above $131.01 could present a buying opportunity in this ETF. We are monitoring IBB closely for a possible long entry.
Deron Wagner is the Founder and Head Trader of both Morpheus Capital LP, a U.S. hedge fund, and MorpheusTrading.com, a trader education firm.
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