The Wagner Daily ETF Report For July 16 |
By Deron Wagner |
Published
07/16/2012
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Stocks
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Unrated
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The Wagner Daily ETF Report For July 16
Stocks jumped higher on Friday, as trade declined. Although the rally lacked volume, all five major indices closed near session highs. The rally was broad based. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 rallied 1.6%, while the Nasdaq and the S&P MidCap 400 tacked on 1.5%. The small-cap Russell 2000 trailed the other indices slightly, but still added an impressive 1.4%.
Internals ended the session mixed on Friday. Volume slipped on the Nasdaq by 20.9% on the Nasdaq and 12.6% on the NYSE. However, advancing volume topped declining volume on the NYSE by a factor of 8.1 to 1 and on the Nasdaq by a factor of 2.9 to 1.
Last Thursday, on a burst of volume, the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) formed a bullish reversal candle, as it undercut its 20-day EMA and reversed to close near session highs. This type of price action serves to "shake weak hands out of the trade" and sweep poorly placed stops. We recently exited UNG at breakeven because we didn't like the price action in the broad market. Since then however, UNG has continued to consolidate above support of its 20-day EMA and now appears ready for a push higher.
It is important to remember that every trade stands of its own merits. There is nothing wrong with re-entering a trade if it meets the appropriate criteria. In fact, it would be a poor trading practice to not enter a trade if a legitimate setup triggered. This should not be confused with "revenge trading," which is the practice of re-establishing a position without a legitimate trigger, in an emotional attempt to prove the market wrong. We are placing UNG on the watchlist. Trade details are available to our clients in the watchlist section of the newsletter.
Deron Wagner is the Founder and Head Trader of both Morpheus Capital LP, a U.S. hedge fund, and MorpheusTrading.com, a trader education firm.
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