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The Wagner Daily ETF Report For July 20
By Deron Wagner | Published  07/20/2012 | Stocks | Unrated
The Wagner Daily ETF Report For July 20

Stocks ended the session mostly higher on mixed trade. The Nasdaq showed relative strength for the second consecutive day as it posted a 0.8% gain. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 tacked on 0.3%, while the S&P added a modest 0.1%. The small-cap Russell 2000 was the sole loser on the session, as it slid 0.4%.

Thursday ended with mixed internals. Despite its relative strength, turnover fell on the Nasdaq by 4.6%, while the NYSE saw an uptick in volume of just over 11.0%. Advancing volume topped declining volume on the Nasdaq by a ratio of 1.5 to 1 and on the NYSE by a ratio of 1.1 to 1.

Following an undercut of its 50-day MA, on July 13th, the S&P Select Financial SPDR Fund (XLF) gapped up and reclaimed support of its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, on a burst of volume. Since that time, XLF has spent the last four sessions consolidating above support of its 20-day EMA. Further, on July 17th, XLF formed a reversal candle on another burst of volume (day-over-day). A move above the July 17th high of $14.78 could provide a buying opportunity in this ETF.



Since reversing off of its June 4th lows, the Market Vectors Indonesia ETF (IDX) has rallied into resistance of its 200-day MA and filled the gapped formed in May of this year. IDX could provide a shorting opportunity if it forms a reversal candle at the current level (See blue candlestick). Reversal candles demonstrate that the trend is weakening and provide a potential entry trigger. We will continue to monitor IDX as a possible short candidate.

 

Deron Wagner is the Founder and Head Trader of both Morpheus Capital LP, a U.S. hedge fund, and MorpheusTrading.com, a trader education firm.