• Euro Tests Offers Below 1.2200
• Japanese Yen Bounces In Tight Range
• British Pound Struggles To Keep 1.7800
• Swiss Franc Fails To Recapture 1.2800
• Canadian Dollar Tests Bids Below 1.1400
• Australian Dollar Tests .7600
• New Zealand Dollar Remains Below .6900

EUR/USD - Euro bulls retaliated with vengeance against the unsuspecting greenback longs as they pushed the pair above 1.2115, a level marked by the 50.0 Fib of the 1.2588-1.1639 USD rally, but failed to extend their advance above 1.2140, a level established by the 200-day SMA As euro bulls retreat, a break below the 1.2100, will most likely see the pair extend its decline toward the psychologically important 1.2000 handle, a level established by the 38.2 Fib 1.2588-1.1639 USD rally. A further breakdown will most likely see greenback traders push the pair lower and test the euro's bids around 1.1961, a 50-day SMA and with sustained momentum to the downside most likely seeing EUR/USD tumble toward 1.1865, a 23.6 Fib of the 1.2588-1.1639 USD rally. Indicators are favoring euro longs with both positive momentum indicator and MACD treading above the zero line, ADX is above 25 at 25.67 signaling an existence of trend not a direction of one, while neutral oscillators give the pair enough room to maneuver.

USD/JPY - Japanese Yen longs continued to put up a struggle against the dollar bulls as price action remained confined to 117.32, a level established by the 23.6 Fib of the 104.16-121.46 USD rally and the 50-day SMA. A further move to the upside will most likely see USD/JPY head higher and with a move above 118.17, a December 30 daily high, most likely seeing the pair test the yen offers around 119.23, a level marked by the November 28 daily high. A sustained momentum to the upside will most likely see the pair gain further upside momentum and with a break above the psychologically important 120.00 handle, most likely aiming for 121.39, a level defended by the 2005 High and a start of the previous anti-dollar rally. Indicators are mixed with negative momentum indicator above the zero line and MACD below the zero line, with ADX above 25 at 28.95, signaling an existence of a maturing trend, not a direction of one, while neutral oscillators give the pair enough room to maneuver.

GBP/USD - British pound longs once again tested their luck as they pushed the pair toward 1.7776, a level established by the 50.0 Fib of the 1.8500-1.7048 USD rally, only to see the initial momentum of their advance stall around 1.7834, a level established by the 200-day SMA. A failure to recapture recent levels will most likely see GBP/USD reverse direction and further move to the downside most likely seeing the pair head lower and once again collapse through 1.7776. A further move to the downside will most likely see the dollar traders test the bids around 1.7605, a level marked by the key 38.2 Fib of the 1.8500-1.7048 USD rally and with further move to the downside most likely seeing the greenback test sterling defenses around psychologically important 1.7500 handle, a level defended by the combination of the 50-day SMA and December 2 daily high at 1.7487. A sustained momentum of the part of the dollar traders will most likely see GBP/USD retreat further and with further move to the downside take on pound bids around 1.7393, a 23.6 Fib of the 1.8500-1.7048 USD rally. Indicators are favoring cable longs with both positive momentum indicator and MACD above the zero line, while neutral oscillators give the pair enough room to maneuver.

USD/CHF - Swiss Franc bulls  once again tested the dollar defenses around 1.2766, a level defended by the combination of the 50.0 Fib of the 1.2240-1.3285 USD rally, a 200-day SMA and 20-day SMA, but failed to gain momentum and once again retreated above 1.2800 figure.. As greenback longs consolidate, a further move to the upside coupled with a break above 1.2885, a level established by the 38.2 Fib of the 1.2240-1.3285 USD rally most likely seeing the pair head higher and aim for the Swiss Franc offers around 1.2943, a level marked by the 50-day SMA. A sustained momentum on the part of the dollar bulls will most likely see USD/CHF head above the psychologically important 1.3000 handle and test the Swiss France offers around 1.3037, a level established by the 23.6 Fib of the 1.2240-1.3285 USD rally. A further collapse of the Swissie's offers will most likely see the pair head higher and aim for 1.3201, a level established by December 30 daily high. Indicators are favoring the Swiss Franc longs with both negative momentum indicator and MACD below the zero line, with ADX above 25 at 25.38, signaling an existence of a trend, not a direction of one, while neutral oscillators give the pair enough room to maneuver.

USD/CAD - Canadian dollar longs managed to push the pair below the 1.1400 figure as greenback bids began to give way under continuing pressure ftom the Loonie longs. As CAD bulls push the pair lower, a further break to the downside will most likely see the USD/CAD extend its decline and with a move below 1.1300 figure targeting potential support at 1.1249, a level marked by the 1.00 Fib Extension of the Nov-Dec CAD rally. A further move on the part of the Loonie longs will most likely see the USD/CAD extend its decline toward the psychologically important 1.1000 handle, a level defended by the 1.382 Fib Extension of the Nov-Dec CAD rally at 1.1040. A sustained momentum on the part of the Canadian dollar longs will most likely see the greenback longs retreat below the psychologically important 1.1000 handle and mount defense around 1.0910, a level marked by the 1.618 Fib Extension of the Nov-Dec CAD rally. Indicators are favoring Canadian dollar longs with both negative momentum indicator and MACD below the zero line, while oversold Stochastic gives the greenback longs a chance to retaliate.

AUD/USD - Australian dollar bulls managed to push the pair above .7564, a level defended by the combination of the 61.8 Fib of the .7798-.7236 USD rally and 200-day SMA, but failed to test the greenback offers above the .7600 figure. A subsequent reversal coupled with a move to the downside will most likely see the pair break below .7500 figure and test the Aussie bids around .7437, a level established by the 38.2 Fib of the .7798-.7236 USD rally and is further reinforced by the 50-day SMA at .7444. A further move on the greenback traders will most likely see AUD/USD head lower and with a break below the 7400 figure test the Australian dollar bids around.7362, a level marked by the 23.6 Fib of the .7798-.7236 USD rally. A further move on the part of the US dollar traders will most likely see the pair tumble further and aim for the bids around .7321, a level created by the November 24 daily low. Indicators are supporting Australian dollar longs with both positive momentum indicator and positive MACD above the zero line, while neutral oscillators give either side enough room to maneuver.

NZD/USD - New Zealand dollar bulls continued to struggle with greenback offers around .6873, a level marked by the 38.2 Fib of the.5914-.7466 NZD rally and is further reinforced by the 20-day SMA. In case Kiwi longs fail to gain momentum a reversal from the current levels will most likely see the pair head below the .6800 level and test the New Zealand dollar bids around .6741 a level established by the November 8 daily low. A further move on the part of the greenback longs will most likely see NZD/USD test extend its decline toward .6690, a level defended by the 50.0 Fib of the .5914-.7466 NZD rally, with a further break to the downside aiming for New Zealand dollar bids around .6615, a level marked by the July 19, 2004 daily high.  Indicators are favoring US dollar longs with both negative momentum indicator and positive MACD above the zero line, while neutral oscillators give either side enough room to maneuver.

Sam Shenker is a Technical Currency Analyst for FXCM.