EUR/USD - Euro bulls continued to tread sideways above the 1.1900 figure, following their failure to gain the upside moment. As dollar longs push the pair lower, a breakdown below 1.1865, a level marked by the 23.6 Fib of the 1.2588-1.1639 USD rally, a further move to the downside will most likely see the greenback longs target single currency bids around 1.1778, a level established by the December 30 daily low. A sustained momentum on the part of the dollar bulls will most likely see the EUR/USD break below the 1.1700 figure and target 1.1639, a level established by 2005 low and currently acts as a gateway toward the psychologically important 1.1500 handle. A further move below the 1.1500 figure will most likely signal that a dollar dominated trend is underway which will most likely see the pair decline toward 1.1000. Indicators are favoring dollar longs with both negative momentum indicator and MACD trading below the zero line, while oversold Stochastic gives the single currency longs a chance to retaliate.

USD/JPY - Japanese Yen longs continued to put up resistance as greenback longs once again tested yen defenses below the 119.00 figure. A further move to the upside will most likely see the pair break above 119.00 and with sustained momentum target the offers around 119.93, a level defended by the November 28 daily high and a gateway toward the psychologically important 120.00 handle. A further move on the part of the greenback traders will most likely see the USD/JPY head higher and target the yen offers around 121.39, a level marked by the 2005 High. A sustained upside momentum will most likely see the dollar bulls break target 123.25, a level not seen since November 25, 2002, and with a further breakout most likely seeing the pair testing offers around the next psychologically important 125.00 handle. Indicators are favoring the dollar longs with both positive momentum indicator and MACD above the zero line, while neutral oscillators give either side enough room to maneuver.

GBP/USD - British pound longs remained in a tight trading range as price action remained non-existent since the beginning of the month. As dollar bulls resume their advance and push the pair below 1.7391, a level defended by the 23.6 Fib of the 1.8500-1.7048 USD rally, a breakdown will most likely see GBP/USD collapse toward 1.7312, a level marked by the July 8 daily low A further collapse of the pound defenses will most likely see the greenback bulls extend their rally below the 1.7200 figure and target pound bids around 1.7188, a level established by the January 3 daily low. A further downside momentum will most likely see the pair aim for 1.7048, a level defended by the November 11 daily low, breaking of which will most likely see the pair gain additional momentum and head below the psychologically important 1.7000 handle and target the next potential support around 1.6900 figure, a level not seen since October of 2003. Indicators are favoring dollar longs with both negative momentum indicator and MACD trading below the zero line, while neutral oscillators give either side enough room to maneuver.

USD/CHF - Swiss Franc bulls continued to stall the advancing dollar longs as the pair treaded sideways in a narrow trading range with greenback bulls maintaining bids around 1.3042, a potential support established by the 23.6 Fib of the 1.2240-.13285 USD rally. As dollar bulls resume their advance, a breakout above the 1.3100 figure will most likely see the greenback longs extend their rally toward 1.3201, a level established by December 30 daily high. A further momentum on the part of the dollar traders most likely see the pair test Swissie's offers around 1.3285, a level established by the 2005 high. A confirmed break above the trading range's high will most likely see the pair aim for the next psychologically important 1.3500 handle, a level defended by the Swiss Franc offers around 1.3446, an October 17, 2003 daily high. Indicators are favoring the dollar longs with both positive momentum indicator and MACD above the zero line, while overbought Stochastic gives Swiss Franc longs a chance to retaliate.

USD/CAD - Canadian dollar bulls continued to keep the pair below the psychologically important 1.1500 handle, a level defended by the 20-day SMA but failed to sustain downside momentum as USD/CAD stalled above 1.1455, a level established by the January 4 daily low. As US dollar longs launch a countermove against the Loonie longs, a break above 1.1500 will most likely see the greenback push the USD/CAD above the 1.1613, a level defended by the February 14 daily high and target Canadian dollar offers around 1.1697, a level established by the 23.6 Fib of the 1.2733-1.1373 CAD rally. A further advance on the part of the greenback longs will most likely see the pair retreat toward the 1.1800, a level defended by the January 19 daily high at 1.1797. A further break to the upside will most likely see the US dollar traders target the Canadian dollar offers around 1.1893, a level defended by the 38.2 Fib of the 1.2733-1.1373 CAD rally, which also acts as a gateway toward the psychologically important 1.2000 handle. Indicators are mixed with positive momentum indicator diverging from negative MACD, while neutral oscillators give either side enough room to maneuver.

AUD/USD - Australian dollar bulls remained below the.7400 figure as pair remained confined to a tight trading range that dominated the price action for the most of the month. As US dollar longs resume their advance and push the pair lower, a breakdown below .7362, a level marked by the 23.6 Fib of the .7798-.7236 USD rally will most likely see the pair tumble head lower and aim for the bids round .7321, a level created by the November 24 daily low. A further advance on the part of US dollar longs will most likely see the AUD/USD collapse below .7300 figure and target Aussie bids around .7234, a level defended by the December 27 daily low. A sustained break below .7234 will most likely see the US dollar bulls head lower and target the Australian dollar offers around .7130, a level created by the September 29, 2004 daily low, which currently acts as a gateway toward the psychologically important .7000 handle. Indicators are favoring US dollar longs with both negative momentum indicator and MACD trading below the zero line, while oversold Stochastic gives the Australian dollar bulls a chance to retaliate.

NZD/USD - New Zealand dollar longs continued to fly south as Kiwi tumbled below the .6600 figure following the collapse of bids around .6615, a level marked by the July 19, 2004 daily high, in its journey toward the psychologically important .6500 handle. As US dollar traders push the pair lower, a further move to the downside will most likely see the US dollar bulls test New Zealand dollar defenses around .6507, a level established by the 61.8 Fib of the .5914-.7466 NZD rally which acts as a gateway toward the psychologically important .6500 handle. A break below .6500 will most likely see the pair head lower and test the bids around .6414, September 4, 2004 daily low. A sustained momentum on the part of the US dollar traders will most likely see the pair extend its decline below the .6300 figure and target the New Zealand dollar offers around .6246, a level defended by the 78.6 Fib of the .5914-.7466 NZD rally Indicators are favoring US dollar longs with both negative momentum indicator and positive MACD above the zero line, while neutral oscillators give either side enough room to maneuver.

Sam Shenker is a Technical Currency Analyst for FXCM.