The Wagner Daily ETF Report For May 6 |
By Deron Wagner |
Published
05/6/2014
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Stocks
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Unrated
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The Wagner Daily ETF Report For May 6
The main stock market indexes have produced a few bullish reversal candles over the past few weeks, as detailed in the daily chart of the S&P 500 ETF ($SPY) below:
The bullish reversal candle low of April 28 now serves as the "line in the sand" for the current rally in the S&P; a break of this level would also result in a breakdown below the 50-day moving average.
If the price and volume action in the Nasdaq Composite and 100 continue to improve, then we should see a breakout to new highs in the S&P 500 soon.
One of the top consolidations on the ETF side in recent weeks has been in Industrial Select Sector SPDR ($XLI).
The price action in $XLI has tightened up nicely the past two weeks above the rising 20-day EMA, which has held above the rising 50-day MA during the consolidation.
We look for $XLI to follow through to the upside within the next week or two, provided that current market conditions continue to improve:
After an explosive rally during the first quarter of 2014, the Coffee ETF ($JO) formed a two-month long base above the rising 50-day MA. The volume has dried up considerably the past few weeks, which means that $JO is no longer on every trader's radar.
The price action has tightened up nicely the past few sessions, as it trades just below the highs of the range:
Both $XLI and $XO have been added to our ETF watchlist as potential momentum trade entries.
Deron Wagner is the Founder and Head Trader of both Morpheus Capital LP, a U.S. hedge fund, and MorpheusTrading.com, a trader education firm.
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