Categories
Search
 

Web

TigerShark
Popular Authors
  1. Dave Mecklenburg
  2. Momentum Trader
  3. Candlestick Trader
  4. Stock Scalper
  5. Pullback Trader
  6. Breakout Trader
  7. Reversal Trader
  8. Mean Reversion Trader
  9. Frugal Trader
  10. Swing Trader
  11. Canslim Investor
  12. Dog Investor
  13. Dave Landry
  14. Art Collins
  15. Lawrence G. McMillan
No popular authors found.
Website Info
 Free Festival of Traders Videos
Article Options
Popular Articles
  1. A 10-Day Trading System
  2. Use the Right Technical Tools When You Trade
  3. Which Stock Trading Theory Works?
  4. Conquer the Four Fears
  5. Advantages and Disadvantages of Different Trading Systems
No popular articles found.
The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly
By Lawrence G. McMillan | Published  05/15/2015 | Options | Unrated
The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly

The broad stock market has continued to frustrate both bulls and bears by remaining within a trading range for quite some time. However, today, $SPX closed at a new all-time high and thus is on the verge of an upside breakout. While this produced much glee on CNBC, there could be problems once again if this breakout is not confirmed.

The simplest confirmation would be another $SPX close at new all-time highs, and this time above the all-time intraday high at 2125.92.

Equity-only put-call ratios rolled over to sell signals just a week ago. They are now rising, and thus will remain on those sell signals as long as that is the case.

Market breadth has been rather lackluster recently, and in general has been a problem since last summer. Today, breadth was positive enough to barely cancel out the "stocks only" sell signal.

Meanwhile, volatility indices and derivatives have generally been in a bullish mode for stocks for some time. It appears that $VIX is going to have to break out above the highs at 17 (from March) in order to truly turn bearish. That seems miles from here.

In summary, $SPX has made another new high, unaccompanied by many other indicators. This is very similar to what it did a few weeks ago. Primarily, we want to see new highs in $DJX and $MID, plus heavily expanding breadth, and buy signals from the put-call ratios. Can all of that happen? Yes, of course, but will it? That seems far from certain.

Lawrence G. McMillan is the author of two best selling books on options, including Options as a Strategic Investment, and also publishes several option trading newsletters.