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The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly
By Lawrence G. McMillan | Published  08/14/2015 | Options | Unrated
The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly

It seems that no matter what happens -- technically, fundamentally, or volatility-wise -- $SPX remains trapped in its now-six-month-long trading range. Hence the $SPX chart is neutral.

All of the major put-call ratios gave buy signals recently. But now those are beginning to deteriorate, as the market hasn't responded. The standard equity-only put-call ratio has curled higher in the last few days, but the computer program that we use to analyze these charts still rates it as a "buy" (presumably, large numbers are coming off the 21-day moving average). Meanwhile, the weighted equity-only put-call ratio has rolled over to a confirmed sell signal.

Breadth has been quite negative, with declines surpassing advances on five of the last six days. As a result, the breadth oscillators have rolled back to sell signals.

Volatility movements have remained generally positive. On the big reversal day on Wednesday, $VIX spiked up to 16.28 and then fell back sharply. That's a bullish reversal. In summary, the outlook for $SPX is neutral.

Lawrence G. McMillan is the author of two best selling books on options, including Options as a Strategic Investment, and also publishes several option trading newsletters.