The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly |
By Lawrence G. McMillan |
Published
09/30/2016
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Options
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Unrated
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The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly
Stocks have tried to find a catalyst to spur them in one direction or the other, but they have been unable to do so. $SPX is locked into the 2120 - 2195 trading range. A clear breakout in either direction should be respected.
The equity-only put-call ratios continue to be mixed in their outlook, although the charts are not all that different. The standard ratio has been on a buy signal for over a week, while the weighted ratio remains on a sell signal -- at least according to the computer.
Market breadth has been swinging back and forth quite strongly. This has resulted in multiple signals. The latest is a sell signal.
Volatility indices have mostly declined since their early September peak. We continue to view 15 as a sort of demarcation line between bullish and bearish.
In summary, until $SPX breaks out of the 2120-2195 area, expect mixed signals from the indicators and a directionless market. But a breakout from that range can and should be traded.
Lawrence G. McMillan is the author of two best selling books on options, including Options as a Strategic Investment, and publishes several option trading newsletters.
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