The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly |
By Lawrence G. McMillan |
Published
10/14/2016
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Options
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Unrated
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The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly
This week, $SPX finally tried to break down. But support held at or near 2120, reinforcing that as a major support area. So that remains a key level the level at which the $SPX chart would turn bearish, if broken.
Equity-only put-call ratios are not buying into the bearish argument just yet. They are both moving lower on their charts, which maintains their buy signals.
Market breadth has been relatively negative, and both breadth oscillators remain on sell signals. Frankly, I'm surprised that breadth wasn't worse yesterday, when the 2120 level was first tested.
$VIX moved higher, of course, as the market broke down, but its advance has not been spectacular. When volatility is rising, that is bearish for stocks.
In summary, we have been waiting for a long time for $SPX to break out and to confirm the signals issued by our indicators. After some severe muddling around in the last month, the indicators have fallen in to a state of boredom, and now it is $SPX that might be leading the way, rather than following. That is fine, for it is the most important indicator, anyway.
Lawrence G. McMillan is the author of two best selling books on options, including Options as a Strategic Investment, and publishes several option trading newsletters.
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