Categories
Search
 

Web

TigerShark
Popular Authors
  1. Dave Mecklenburg
  2. Momentum Trader
  3. Candlestick Trader
  4. Stock Scalper
  5. Pullback Trader
  6. Breakout Trader
  7. Reversal Trader
  8. Mean Reversion Trader
  9. Frugal Trader
  10. Swing Trader
  11. Canslim Investor
  12. Dog Investor
  13. Dave Landry
  14. Art Collins
  15. Lawrence G. McMillan
No popular authors found.
Website Info
 Free Festival of Traders Videos
Article Options
Popular Articles
  1. A 10-Day Trading System
  2. Use the Right Technical Tools When You Trade
  3. Which Stock Trading Theory Works?
  4. Conquer the Four Fears
  5. Advantages and Disadvantages of Different Trading Systems
No popular articles found.
Dollar Longs Rejected
By Jamie Saettele | Published  06/2/2006 | Currency | Unrated
Dollar Longs Rejected

EUR/USD - Euro bulls took out the 1.2800 figure in early US trade yesterday, but the pair remains mired in the 1.2700-1.2900 range. The 1.2700 support remains key to any further dollar  gains. A break there would open the way to a test of 1.2625 support. Conversely a breakout above the 1.2900 levels targets the 1.3000 barrier and beyond. For the time being low volatility range conditions prevail but a breakout may come sooner rather than later.

USD/JPY - A fake breakout  of the 113.00 level wrong footed some dollar longs yesterday as the pair quickly retraced back to 112.50. The bias in the USD/JPY however remains to the bullish side as MACD continues to point upward. Only a break below the 112,00 handle will change the posture back to a yen long bias, but for the time being yen continues to underperform the euro and a second break above the 113.00 level could prove more decisive than the first.  

GBP/USD - Much like the euro the pound verticalized for 100 point sin 1 hour yesterday, but since then has spend all of its time distributing its gains across time . The fact that it has not taken out the highs during its 1 hour ramp to 1.8693 may be troubling for some cable bull looking for follow through, however the indecision I the price action reflects the uncertainly of the overall market and the pair may well be primed to move higher. 1.8550 remains principal support  which if given, may trigger a retrace all the way to 1.8100. On the topside 1.9000 remains the glass ceiling for the pair that will require tremendous momentum to overcome.

USD/CHF - The correction in USD/CHF much like the other majors caught dollar longs by surprise, however it stopped right at 50% Fibo of  of the 1.2085-1.2240 bull wave from 5/30-6/1 and has held the 1.2200 level since. Both RSI and MACD remain bullish providing dome solace to dollar longs, however the 1.2300 level remains a key drag on the upside while a break of 1.2100 could easily see the pair slip to 1.1900 before finding nay meaningful support.

USD/CAD - A major whipsaw in USD/CAD yesterday as the pair rocketed to 1.1100 only to plunge to 1.1000 in less than 2 hours. However, after the volatility the pair settled into an upward bias trading back to 1.1040. although all indicators remain bearish the pair may be in the process of establishing an intermediate term bottom. The 1.0950 zone remains key for any dollar longs trying to catch a turn while 1.1250 remains the nearest level of resistance.

AUD/USD - AUD/USD remains quagmired in the 1.7450 zone as it attempts ot stabilize after plunging nearly 200 points over the past 2 days. Should it hold the 1.7450 level a rally back to the 50% fibo target of 1.7550 of the most recent bear wave could well be in the cards. However, a break below 1.7450 opens up the possibility of much greater structural damage  that could see the unit travel all the way to 1.7200.

NZD/USD - Kiwi continues its massive unwind of the 6150-6400 bull wave from 5/19 having now broken the 61.8% fibo support line of the move. The 6400 figure proved to be formidable resistance with the pair making a triple top at that level. Further downside action could target the double bottom at .6150 - fully 100 points away as the only natural level of support left for the pair.

Jamie Saettele is a Technical Currency Analyst for FXCM.