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Corcoran Technical Trading Patterns for August 30
http://www.tigersharktrading.com/articles/5359/1/Corcoran-Technical-Trading-Patterns-for-August-30/Page1.html
By Clive Corcoran
Published on 08/30/2006
 
Clive Corcoran writes that Fed's next move may be a downward one and this could lift sentiment sufficiently to see further gains in coming sessions.

Corcoran Technical Trading Patterns for August 30

Despite the small gain of 0.2% the S&P 500 cash index registered an inside day yesterday as the intraday high failed to match the level attained in Monday's trading. The weak consumer confidence data and the release of the FOMC minutes provided an opportunity for market analysts and commentators to discuss the possibility that the Fed's next move may be a downward one and this could lift sentiment sufficiently to see further gains in coming sessions

There are less sanguine consequences of the weakening consumer sector that may bring a different set of concerns as further economic data is released in September.

The Nasdaq 100 cash index (^NDX), in similar fashion to the S&P 500, recorded a small gain with a long lower tail in yesterday's trading. As the "box" formation suggests the index has essentially traded entirely within the range of the long green candlestick that was registered on August 16th.

The broker/dealer sector (^XBD) has seen several days of weaker closes despite the resilience of the broader market and is now poised at the 200-day EMA.

XLE, the exchange traded fund for the energy sector is responding to the newsflow with overnight gaps but still trading within fairly narrow ranges intraday.

TRADE OPPORTUNITIES/SETUPS FOR WEDNESDAY AUGUST 30, 2006

The patterns identified below should be considered as indicative of eventual price direction in forthcoming trading sessions. None of these setups should be seen as specifically opportune for the current trading session.

Aetna (AET) has recovered back to a chart level which may provide some near term resistance.

Bear Stearns (BSC) dropped below its 50- and 200-day EMA on above average volume.

Lehman Brothers (LEH) also closed below its 50- and 200-day EMA on almost twice its average daily volume

Clive Corcoran is the publisher of TradeWithForm.com, which provides daily analysis and commentary on the US stock market. He specializes in market neutral investing and and is currently working on a book about the benefits of trading with long/short strategies, which is scheduled for publication later this year.

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