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Euro Commodity Crosses at Critical Levels
By Jamie Saettele | Published  09/29/2006 | Currency | Unrated
Euro Commodity Crosses at Critical Levels

EUR/AUD â,“ EURAUD continues to hold above the range high at 1.6954.  Oscillators are bullish but CCI is extreme, meaning that one should be wary of a reversal.  In fact, the pair may be setting up for a head and shoulders reversal opportunity.  This last bout of strength could be forming the right shoulder.  Keep in mind also that there is an 8 year trendline just below 1.7200.  The 9/22 high at 1.7075 is initial resistance.

EUR/CAD â,“ EURCAD continues to trade within the upward sloping channel that began in early March but price is testing the support line from that channel today.  A break below could be material and target the 6/13 low at 1.3795.  However, the likelihood of a break immediately is not great.  The doji on the daily yesterday at the aforementioned trendline and oversold oscillators on intraday charts favor a rally attempt.  Initial resistance is at the 9/27 high at 1.4174.

EUR/NZD â,“ EURNZD has digested losses and rallied to 1.9519 but the pair may be turning over again.  A short term double top just above the 1.9500 figure and declining oscillators on the 240 minute and 60 minute charts both favor weakness.  Interim support is todayâ,"s low at 1.9256 but the 9/26 low at 1.8927 is the â,"make or breakâ, level.  The double top at 1.9506/19 is resistance.  A push through there exposes the upper end of the downward sloping channel near the 9/8 high at 1.995.

Jamie Saettele is a Technical Currency Analyst for FXCM.