Kathy Lien is Director of Currency Research at GFT, and runs KathyLien.com.
Kathy has a Bachelors degree in Finance from New York University. Kathy has written for Stocks and Commodities, CBS Market Watch, ActiveTrader, Futures and SFO Magazine. She is frequently quoted on Bloomberg and Reuters and has taught seminars across the country. She has also hosted trader chats on EliteTrader, eSignal, and FXStreet, sharing her expertise in both technical and fundamental analysis.
For those traders who are hoping for the tides to calm in the coming week, they will have to continue hoping because the economic calendar is filled with market moving data.
If we are truly in a recession as many economists argue, then the dollar could actually strengthen. Kathy Lien notes that, of the seven major currencies, the safest one to park your dollars in, is USD/CAD.
Dow futures fell 546 points. If they do not retrace materially before the market’s open on Tuesday and the Dow closes the day down by the amount that the futures suggest, the index would see its fourth largest point loss ever.
The manufacturing index fell to the lowest level in over 6 years. Rate cut expectations are favoring 75bp of easing, and the Federal Reserve is likely to deliver exactly what the market prices in.
If consumer spending actually falls in the month of December, then not only is a 50bp rate cut from the Federal Reserve guaranteed, but so would a rally up to 1.50 in the EUR/USD.
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