Kathy Lien is Director of Currency Research at GFT, and runs KathyLien.com.
Kathy has a Bachelors degree in Finance from New York University. Kathy has written for Stocks and Commodities, CBS Market Watch, ActiveTrader, Futures and SFO Magazine. She is frequently quoted on Bloomberg and Reuters and has taught seminars across the country. She has also hosted trader chats on EliteTrader, eSignal, and FXStreet, sharing her expertise in both technical and fundamental analysis.
Federal Reserve officials are out in force trying to pacify the market after the euro hit a new record high on the back of yesterday’s sharp dollar weakness.
Demand for carry trades continue to be strong with the Japanese yen falling to a new record low against the euro and decade or multi-decade lows against other currencies.
For the past few months, the stability of the labor market has pacified concern about the housing market because as long as people have jobs, they will continue to pay their mortgages. However the problems in the housing market are worsening with sharp drops seen in existing, new and pending home sales for the month of May.
Unsurprisingly, the markets have been extremely quiet with US traders off celebrating Independence Day. There has been little action in the foreign exchange market with the dollar strengthening only slightly against the British pound and Japanese yen, and weakening slightly against the euro and commodity currencies.
Traders were out to sell the US dollar today and nothing could stand in their way. Stronger than expected manufacturing sector growth only helped the dollar rally a mere 15 pips against the Japanese yen, and even those gains were lost shortly afterwards. The move in the US dollar indicates that the foreign exchange market is focusing almost exclusively on bond yields today.
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