Kathy Lien is Director of Currency Research at GFT, and runs KathyLien.com.
Kathy has a Bachelors degree in Finance from New York University. Kathy has written for Stocks and Commodities, CBS Market Watch, ActiveTrader, Futures and SFO Magazine. She is frequently quoted on Bloomberg and Reuters and has taught seminars across the country. She has also hosted trader chats on EliteTrader, eSignal, and FXStreet, sharing her expertise in both technical and fundamental analysis.
The larger US trade deficit has helped to contribute to the US dollar’s weakness, but most of the sell-off in the greenback today was triggered by positive Eurozone data and the continual liquidation of short yen trades.
With the G7 meeting behind us, traders have taken the US dollar higher once again. With no major US data on the calendar, today’s move is nothing more than a relief rally.
Ahead of the looming G7 meeting this weekend, traders continued to bid the greenback higher against the major currencies whether on book squaring or profit taking.
The mixed price action in the US dollar today indicates that currency traders are simply marking time ahead of the ECB monetary policy meeting tomorrow and the G7 meeting this weekend.
Over the past year, the US non-farm payrolls report has become incredibly difficult to trade. Large revisions are made frequently, which is reducing the accuracy and reliability of each individual report.
In February, we are beginning to see the tides shift. US data is surprising more often to the downside than to the upside, questioning the sustainability of the impressive growth that we saw in the fourth quarter.
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