Kathy Lien is Director of Currency Research at GFT, and runs KathyLien.com.
Kathy has a Bachelors degree in Finance from New York University. Kathy has written for Stocks and Commodities, CBS Market Watch, ActiveTrader, Futures and SFO Magazine. She is frequently quoted on Bloomberg and Reuters and has taught seminars across the country. She has also hosted trader chats on EliteTrader, eSignal, and FXStreet, sharing her expertise in both technical and fundamental analysis.
The US dollar staged quite a turnaround this week despite the lack of any significant data. Over the past few weeks, other central banks have proven to be less hawkish than the market had anticipated while upside surprises in US data continues to give traders confidence that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates at 5.25 percent throughout the first half of the year.
The US dollar is higher today against most of the other major currencies, but this was not due to any dollar positive news. Instead, the lack of any US data actually helped the dollar benefit from weakness elsewhere.
When currencies behave very differently against the US dollar for days at a time, it tells us that not only is the direction in the market unclear, but there are also counteracting forces preventing the currency from moving in one direction.
The lack of a significant reaction in the US dollar following the dollar positive economic releases that we have seen over the past few days suggests that traders may have already discounted the return of the Goldilocks economy.
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