Euro forecasts against the US ollar took a turn for the worse on the week, as generally dismal European economic data and further losses in the US Dow Jones Industrials Average led to similar euro-US dollar weakness.
Given the mounting fears of a global recession, indicators of economic growth have been drawing quite a bit of attention lately. As a result, the release of Euro-zone Q3 GDP and US retail sales along with speeches by Fed Chairman Bernanke and ECB President Trichet are sure to make the headlines and spur volatility in the forex markets this week.
The euro's recent bullish momentum was stalled after it reached as high as 1.3300 ending a 900 pip rally, despite German unemployment falling for a fifth straight month as the number of unemployed dropped by 26,000.
The US dollar ended last week almost completely unchanged, as lingering risk aversion in the markets leaves safe-haven flows supportive of the greenback. While there have been some signs of stabilization in the markets, such as the drop in overnight interest rates, there were also indications that high volatility and lower liquidity will leave the markets prone to wild price swings.
The lack of recovery in the credit market paired with narrowing demands for carry trades have certainly increased the appeal of the Swiss franc, and remains favorable in the week ahead as investors continue to curb their risk appetite.
The British Pound strengthened for the third consecutive day to spike above 1.7500 despite mounting growth concerns for Europe’s second largest economy.
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