Despite softer labor market numbers this morning, the rally in the US dollar suggests that the market is fully focused on tomorrows service sector ISM report.
Led by the US dollar, it has been a record setting week in the financial markets. Today, on a closing basis, the dollar sunk to an all-time low against the euro.
The minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting was hawkish, yet the dollar is struggling to rally. This tells us that those who want to be long dollars for carry and yield are already long while the rest of the market is more interested in countries that will be raising rates instead of leaving them steady.
The previous sentiment to higher inflationary pressures and further rate hikes seems to have dissipated as policy makers are potentially looking towards a more dovish outlook.
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