Articles by this Author
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US CPI May Slash Fed Rate Cut Probabilities
With energy and food prices in the US rocketing higher, it will come as little surprise that inflation figures for the month of October are expected to surge upon release on Thursday.
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Will US Retail Sales Erase the Greenback’s Recent Gains?
The Producer Price Index is anticipated to jump in October with the annualized rate predicted to hit a two-year high of 6.4 percent. US financial markets are more likely to respond to the Advance Retail Sales report, with surprises to the upside or downside likely to spark significant volatility, particularly in the equity markets and FX markets.
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Will GBP/USD Suffer with the Carry Unwind or Can UK CPI Provide a Bid?
The carry-driven sentiment in the GBP/USD pair is a bit overpowering right now so traders should keep an eye on the status of the equity markets and other FX carry trades like GBP/JPY.
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Pound-Dollar May Rebound if BoE Refuses to Cut Rates
With upside inflation risks mounting, the Bank of England has already been prevented from cutting rates. Monday’s release of the UK producer price index may bring the inflation issue to the forefront once again
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US Inflation Could Prevent December Rate Cuts
Fed fund futures are pricing in a 70 percent chance of yet another 25 basis point cut on December 11, but what about that pesky inflation issue? Won’t more accommodative monetary policy only fan price pressures?
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ECB to Leave Rates Steady, Trichet’s Bias may be More Hawkish
Consumer and investor sentiment have turned more pessimistic, suggesting that the Euro-zone economy may be facing some road bumps. Furthermore, the financial markets have yet to fully recover, and as a result, the ECB is likely to take a firmer stance on inflation risks.
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Will AUD/USD Target Fresh 23-Year Highs on a RBA Rate Hike?
Speculation is mounting that the Reserve Bank of Australia will raise rates for the second time this year to an 11-year high of 6.75 percent, helping to drive the Australian dollar higher and leading the country’s government bonds lower.
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Will Canadian Building Permits, Ivey PMI Push USD/CAD Even Lower?
Although it would seem that the Canadian dollar’s move to multi-decade highs would eventually take a toll on export growth, approximately half of the exports shipped out of Canada consist of commodities, and demand and prices for these goods are still red hot.
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EUR/USD Rally Unlikely to be Slowed by US ISM Non-Manufacturing Data
The ISM non-manufacturing report is likely to be in line with the FOMC’s policy statement that cited major downside risks to growth were counterbalanced by upside inflation risks.
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Will Non-Farm Payrolls Help or Hurt the US Dollar and Dow on Friday?
One of the most market-moving indicators out of the US will be released on Friday, but with the FOMC rate decision and policy statement leaving the forex, fixed income, and equity markets stumbling, the impact of the data could be skewed.
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