The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly |
By Lawrence G. McMillan |
Published
07/31/2015
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Options
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Unrated
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The McMillan Options Strategist Weekly
The chart of $SPX is the least bullish of the indicators. SPX remains in the 2040-2135 trading range that has bound it for most of this year. Basically this is a neutral chart.
Put-call ratios are much more encouraging. A strong buy signal has been generated by the standard put-call ratio. The weighted equity-only put-call ratio is also bullish. Market breadth remains mixed, with the NYSE-based indicator now on a buy signal, but the "stocks only" is not.
Volatility continues to be the most bullish indicator. Recently, $VIX generated a "spike peak" buy signal as of the close of trading on Monday, July 27. These are powerful signals.
In summary, there are positive signals emanating from put-call ratios, market breadth, and volatility indicators, as are all generating new buy signals. The only non-conformist is the chart of $SPX (and "stocks only" breadth). There have been many times in the past where $SPX turned out to be the dominant indicator, so I am not saying with certainty that the positive nature of the other indicators is guaranteed to make $SPX break out on the upside, but there is a reasonable chance that they will.
Lawrence G. McMillan is the author of two best selling books on options, including Options as a Strategic Investment, and also publishes several option trading newsletters.
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